Newmarket selections – Saturday 13th July

Dreams of a July Cup winner

Steve Hughes previews the final day of the Newmarket July meeting

The final and most important day at Newmarket provides us with the most prestigious race of the week, the July Cup and the big betting race, the Bunbury Cup. I have two selections for each.

 

Newmarket 3.30: Burnt Sugar & Ripp Orf

Two out and out 7f specialists are favoured for the Bunbury Cup.

Last year’s winner Burnt Sugar has to be considered from just a 3lb higher mark. A flat out 7f contest is what he needs so there are very few races in the calendar that will be run to suit him. As a result I am happy to forgive him two runs down the field at Haydock this season (on unsuitably soft ground as well). He followed up victory in this by winning two weeks later in the International Handicap at Ascot with today’s jockey Shane Kelly on board. Those two defeats have given the handicapper enough evidence to drop his mark back to a workable one.

Ripp Orf is another who has to have conditions right. He hated the undulations of Epsom last time, but had finished a fair fifth in the Victoria Cup at Ascot prior to that. He is back to the rating of 93 from which he last won, a big field 7f handicap at Ascot in the autumn. Still only five, he only really started racing in earnest at the start of 2018, so he is no back number and he looks a very solid each-way option, especially as he won at this meeting here last season, albeit over a mile.

 

Newmarket 4.40: Dream of Dreams & Fairyland

Two against the field in a wide open looking July Cup.

Dream of Dreams looks to have matured this season into a fine sprinter having constantly spoiled his chances by pulling too hard earlier in his career. He was flying at the finish when narrowly denied by Blue Point in the Golden Jubilee at Royal Ascot and had previously won in smaller races at Chelmsford and Windsor. Fast ground suits him well and I am hoping that the rail draw will work to his advantage as he will get plenty of cover early. It will be down to Danny Tudhope to work a clear passage at the business end of the race.

As an alternative Fairyland could finally have been found her best trip today. She won two group races as a juvenile including the Group 1 Cheveley Park on the Rowley Mile. However connections tried the classic route in both the English and Irish 1000 Guineas. She was a blatant not-stayer each time. She was then beaten 3l in the Kings Stand at the Royal meeting over 5f. However her strong finish that day marks her as the ideal type for this step up to 6f.

 

Recommended bets:

0.5pts each-way – Burnt Sugar – 3.30 Newmarket – 11/1 Ladbrokes, Coral (1/5 odds 1st 5)

1pt each-way- Ripp Orf – 3.30 Newmarket – 15/2 general (most bookies 1/5 odds 1st 5)

1pt win – Dream of Dreams – 4.40 Newmarket – 4/1 general

1pt win – Fairyland – 4.40 Newmarket – 8/1 general

 

Next column – Friday 15th July – Day One Killarney Festival

0 Comments

Leave a reply

©2019 FESTIVALS OF RACING - website created & maintained by 1LG.com web design

Skip to toolbar